Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.987257 1.120789 1.266268 1.436621 1.630757 1.845255 2.100433
2025-12-28 0.796010 0.980990 1.200048 1.479021 1.825512 2.242586 2.784079
2026-01-04 0.662014 0.863251 1.115666 1.456371 1.905650 2.479825 3.272524
2026-01-11 0.589869 0.805520 1.089050 1.490499 2.046684 2.793588 3.878768
2026-01-18 0.525489 0.746628 1.049386 1.496119 2.142066 3.047615 4.423097
2026-01-25 0.466271 0.686151 0.998178 1.475785 2.193170 3.238220 4.890084
2026-02-01 0.413677 0.628368 0.943079 1.441086 2.215446 3.383632 5.298538
2026-02-08 0.369158 0.577322 0.891709 1.404694 2.228251 3.511520 5.687297
2026-02-15 0.342509 0.550632 0.873977 1.417176 2.316179 3.760911 6.290796
2026-02-22 0.315215 0.519955 0.846548 1.410352 2.370420 3.958605 6.825375
2026-03-01 0.288927 0.488241 0.814162 1.391420 2.401169 4.117850 7.306888
2026-03-08 0.259300 0.448125 0.764104 1.337297 2.365409 4.158595 7.580671
2026-03-15 0.235517 0.418130 0.732293 1.318813 2.403103 4.353532 8.198851
2026-03-22 0.222473 0.406174 0.731444 1.357168 2.551011 4.768944 9.293506
2026-03-29 0.202442 0.379241 0.700704 1.336451 2.585326 4.975929 10.009847
2026-04-05 0.191675 0.368269 0.697854 1.367678 2.721960 5.392168 11.194436
2026-04-12 0.178767 0.351765 0.682693 1.372821 2.806774 5.714581 12.224990
2026-04-19 0.164502 0.331075 0.657225 1.354215 2.840432 5.935721 13.066146
2026-04-26 0.150347 0.309149 0.627058 1.322464 2.842458 6.089967 13.778215
2026-05-03 0.137508 0.288640 0.597718 1.289161 2.837016 6.226649 14.466397
2026-05-10 0.130112 0.278826 0.589554 1.300584 2.931061 6.591668 15.731350
2026-05-17 0.121797 0.266212 0.574195 1.294339 2.984206 6.869818 16.823751
2026-05-24 0.113306 0.252385 0.554872 1.277014 3.009564 7.086054 17.791272